Election forecasters think this year’s presidential race is too close to call. Nevada? A complete tossup. Pennsylvania? Anybody’s guess. The race looks clearer to Seth Keshel, a Trump supporter and former Army intelligence captain who made his own forecasts for November. That’s in part because, unlike other election modelers, he …
Read More »Opinion | Three Weeks to Go, and That’s All Anyone Is Sure Of
Gail Collins: Bret, Kamala Harris sure seems proud of her gun ownership, doesn’t she? Bret Stephens: Think of Aretha Franklin singing, “G-L-O-C-K (E), find out what it means to me.” Gail: Hadn’t thought about it until she told Oprah Winfrey that if someone breaks into her house, “they’re getting shot.” …
Read More »Most Voters Have Been Offended by Trump. It’s Not Always a Deal Breaker.
The vast majority of voters across the United States say they have been offended at some point by former President Donald J. Trump. But a sizable number of those voters say that has not stopped them from supporting him. Overall, 70 percent of voters said that the former president had …
Read More »Harris’s Final Challenge: Restore a Splintering Democratic Coalition
In the final weeks of the presidential campaign, Vice President Kamala Harris is contending with erosion within the Democratic coalition that put Barack Obama and Joe Biden in the White House, and growing more dependent on white voters who historically aligned more with Republicans. Black and Latino voters, two essential …
Read More »State of the Race: A Close Race Gets Closer
Follow the latest updates on the 2024 election. The presidential race just keeps getting tighter. With three weeks to go, The New York Times’s polling average shows Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump essentially tied across the seven key battleground states, with the two separated by less than one percentage …
Read More »A Mystery Repeats: Harris Up 4 in Pennsylvania, and Trump Up 6 in Arizona
At the end of our last wave of post-debate battleground polls, there were two state poll results that didn’t seem to fit the rest. One was Pennsylvania: Kamala Harris led by four percentage points, making it her best result in the battlegrounds. It was our only state poll conducted immediately …
Read More »One of the World’s Most Immigrant-Friendly Countries Is Changing Course
A late-night Uber ride from Toronto’s Pearson Airport into the city usually guarantees a good fare for the driver. But not for Sachindeep Singh on the evening of Sept. 19. A few miles into the ride, his Uber app stopped working. Mr. Singh’s work permit had expired at midnight and, …
Read More »Trump Leads in Arizona as Harris Holds an Edge in Pennsylvania, New Polls Show
Two of the nation’s most-contested battleground states — Pennsylvania and Arizona — illustrate the difficulties each campaign faces in gaining a clear advantage in the final stretch of the 2024 race, with Kamala Harris maintaining a narrow lead in Pennsylvania but Donald J. Trump continuing to hold an advantage in …
Read More »Black Voters Drift From Democrats, Imperiling Harris’s Bid, Poll Shows
Vice President Kamala Harris has improved her party’s standing among Black voters since President Biden left the presidential race, but she still significantly trails Mr. Biden’s 2020 share of that vital Democratic constituency, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll of Black likely voters. Nearly eight out of 10 …
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