Iran faces a dilemma after the Israeli strikes on Saturday. If it retaliates, it risks further escalation at a time when its economy is struggling, its allies are faltering, its military vulnerability is clear and its leadership succession is in play. If it does not, it risks looking weak to …
Read More »Global Economic Leaders Confront a New Era of Industrial Policy
At the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank this week, Kristalina Georgieva, the head of the I.M.F., expressed a mix of relief and trepidation about the state of the world economy. Policymakers had tamed rapid inflation without causing a global recession. Yet another big economic …
Read More »Trump Escalates Threats as Campaign Enters Dark Final Stretch
A campaign marked by Donald J. Trump’s apocalyptic extremes has turned even darker in its final days. With voting already underway in battleground states, the former president on Friday escalated his threats to prosecute and imprison a wide range of people involved in elections and politics. Hours later, on the …
Read More »Mayor Adams Bucks Harris and Democrats on Calling Trump a ‘Fascist’
Mayor Eric Adams of New York said on Saturday that former President Donald J. Trump should not be called a “fascist” or compared to Adolf Hitler, a rejection of Democrats’ closing focus in the final days of the 2024 campaign on the eve of Mr. Trump’s rally in Midtown Manhattan. …
Read More »Election Odds Swing in Trump’s Favor on Polymarket, a Crypto Betting Site
Donald J. Trump posted a colorful graphic on social media this week, suggesting that he was headed for victory in the presidential election. The graphic showed that Mr. Trump had a 64 percent chance of defeating Vice President Kamala Harris next month — a much rosier picture for him than …
Read More »Opinion | How Donald Trump Jr. Conquered the Republican Party
In 2022, shortly before the midterm elections and the unofficial start of the 2024 presidential campaign, the conservative activist Christopher Rufo traveled to Maine to appear on Tucker Carlson’s Fox Nation streaming talk show. For the previous two years, he was a frequent guest of Mr. Carlson’s. He usually did …
Read More »The Elon-ction + Can A.I. Be Blamed for a Teen’s Suicide?
Listen to and follow ‘Hard Fork’Apple | Spotify | Amazon | YouTube | iHeartRadio Hosted by Kevin Roose and Casey Newton Produced by Rachel Cohn and Whitney Jones Edited by Jen Poyant Engineered by Daniel Ramirez Original music by Dan PowellSophia Lanman and Rowan Niemisto Note: This episode contains mentions …
Read More »Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.
Organizations that track election polls, including The New York Times, currently show Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald J. Trump in a dead heat. Election forecasters like FiveThirtyEight, which consider the polls and other data to calculate the candidates’ odds of victory, also see the race as essentially …
Read More »Without Another Debate, the Campaign Became a Duel of TV Scenes
In a typical election season — remember those? — right about now we would be preparing for, or recovering from, the final presidential debate. But Oct. 23, the date of a proposed CNN showdown that Kamala Harris accepted and Donald J. Trump declined, came and went without one. Instead, as …
Read More »Washington Post Says It Won’t Endorse a Presidential Candidate
A debate inside The Washington Post continued for days among its top leaders: Should it make an endorsement in the presidential race, continuing a decades-long tradition?In the end, Jeff Bezos, the paper’s billionaire owner, decided that the answer was no.On Friday, Will Lewis, The Post’s chief executive, told the newsroom …
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